NCAA tournament projections: Iowa or out?

Examine the SoS rankings.

NCAA Basketball RPI Ratings - NCAA BB Team Strength of Schedule RPI Rating

Notice the number of borderline teams top 50 SoS teams that could end up with enough wins to be bubble teams.

Some of this is beyond Iowa's control w/o a win against IU or 2 quality wins in B1G against higher seeded teams.

The fact is that the B1G is really weak with the bottom 3. Purdue is not a strong team either. Iowa's schedule is almost fully charged with these teams and we haven't been perfect (Purdue). In what I consider the biggest years of B 10 BB, the late 70's through the early 90's, it was rare for B10 to be this poor at the bottom. If you go back to the late 70's and early 80's, even the bottom of the conference with the exception of NW, were legitimate teams to beat anyone. Especially Wisky with Wesley Mathews. Wisky was a near bottom feeder and was a tough out. Probably Wisky was as or more solid than MN, IA and IL today for their times.

It's a tough sled and the powers that decide will be more impressed with tough wins against tough teams than close losses. The 2 best wins aren't that impressive. Need to build that resume and there aren't many teams that fit the building bill to get that done. The margin is very slim.

If they can't get some tough wins (not sure I count IL at this point), I'm not sure I'd want them in the tourney. Nothing on the resume shows a good showing predictor.

Keys to stepping up: Need points in the paint. Need decent 3 point shooting and not from a paint player. Marble needs to penetrate and with decent regularity needs to dish to someone who WILL score.

Source: http://www.hawkeyenation.com/forum/basketball/56382-ncaa-tournament-projections-iowa-out.html

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